Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3805
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 7
OO 3805 · ATL → OAJ
departs 12:09 PM ET · arrives 1:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 70h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7
Thu 10/8 14%
Fri 10/9 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at OAJ more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±0 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAJ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at OAJ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OAJ?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into OAJ at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OAJ (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.