Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5704
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 7
OO 5704 · ORD → TVC
departs 1:55 PM CT · arrives 4:07 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 70h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Mon 10/5 31%
Tue 10/6 28%
Wed 10/7
Thu 10/8 31%
Sat 10/10 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
−14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at TVC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TVC?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↑
1pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TVC (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.