OO 6230 · LAX → DSM

departs 1:21 PM PT · arrives 6:51 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DSM?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Arrivals into DSM at that hour are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DSM

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

DSM (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6230 · LAX → DSM

Odds over time

How late will it get to DSM?