Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6286
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 7
OO 6286 · LAX → TUL
departs 11:00 AM PT · arrives 4:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7
Thu 10/8 13%
Sat 10/10 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
11am departures from LAX are often late
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
Visibility down to 2 mi forecast at LAX that day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
This flight has been late 17% of the time recently
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
TUL (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.