Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6464
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 7
OO 6464 · HSV → ORD
departs 7:36 AM CT · arrives 9:58 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 70h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7
Thu 10/8 16%
Fri 10/9 14%
Sat 10/10 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±2 pts
−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave HSV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
HSV is prone to delays
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HSV
Weather at each end
HSV (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.