Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2048
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 7 Tomorrow
QX 2048 · SEA → YYJ
departs 11:26 AM PT · arrives 12:28 PM PDT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Wed 10/7
Thu 10/8 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at YYJ more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.1d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YYJ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at YYJ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to YYJ?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
11am departures from SEA are often late
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
YYJ usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
YYJ (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.