Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2110
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 7
QX 2110 · FAI → ANC
departs 2:44 PM AKT · arrives 4:02 PM AKT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/6 17%
Wed 10/7
Odds over time
Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave FAI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at ANC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ANC?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at FAI that day
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Arrivals into ANC at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
FAI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FAI (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
ANC (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.