Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2188
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 7
QX 2188 · EUG → SEA
departs 1:15 PM PT · arrives 2:31 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 52%
Tue 10/6 33%
Wed 10/7
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave EUG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
EUG is prone to delays
↑
1pm departures from EUG are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at EUG that day
Weather at each end
EUG (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.