Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2191
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 7
QX 2191 · SEA → EUG
departs 12:30 PM PT · arrives 1:47 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/6 19%
Wed 10/7
Odds over time
Arrive at EUG more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EUG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at EUG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EUG?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 100 ft forecast at SEA that day
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
EUG (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.