Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2279
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 7
QX 2279 · LAX → PAE
departs 2:42 PM PT · arrives 5:38 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7
Sat 10/10 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at PAE more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PAE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at PAE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PAE?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
QX's recent on-time record
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
PAE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
PAE (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.