Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2347
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 7 Tomorrow
QX 2347 · BOI → SEA
departs 9:54 AM MT · arrives 10:33 AM PT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Wed 10/7
Thu 10/8 33%
Sat 10/10 27%
Sun 10/11 26%
Mon 10/12 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave BOI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at SEA that day
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BOI (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 0.3 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.