Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SAS · FLIGHT SK 936 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 7

SK 936 · SFO → CPH

departs 5:01 PM PT · arrives 12:25 PM CEST

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 48h before departure

Arrive at CPH more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CPH?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at SFO that day

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

CPH (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SK 936 · SFO → CPH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CPH?