Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3030 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 7

SY 3030 · LAL → PIT

departs 11:23 PM ET · arrives 1:56 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 49h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at LAL that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into PIT at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

Weather at each end

LAL (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.16 in

PIT (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3030 · LAL → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?