tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1127 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

UA 1127 · OKC → IAH

departs 7:00 AM CT · arrives 8:28 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 132h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Wednesday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
9% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 6.3d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAH?

  1. On time or early
    91%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.