UA 2080 · OGG → SFO

took off 1:57 PM HT · expected to land 9:23 PM PT (scheduled 1:51 PM HT → 10:01 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SFO?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↑ OGG is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

Weather at each end

OGG (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2080 · OGG → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?