Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2181SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS
UA 2181 · IAH → LGA
departs 12:00 PM CT · arrives 4:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 157h before departure
Typical odds
Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Wednesday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
30%chance · ±16 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARELow. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.