Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 60 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, October 7 Tomorrow

UA 60 · SFO → MEL

departs 12:11 AM PT · arrives 9:19 AM AEDT

Your aircraft is N38950 (B789), coming in as UA 927 from FRA: landed 8:55 PM PT.

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MEL more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 11pm departures from SFO are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

MEL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 60 · SFO → MEL

Odds over time