WN 1968 · HNL → LGB

took off 1:03 PM HT · expected to land 8:43 PM PT (scheduled 12:41 PM HT → 8:58 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LGB?

LIVE

On time or early
99%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from HNL are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into LGB at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ HNL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.02 in

LGB (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1968 · HNL → LGB

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGB?