WN 1983 · HNL → OGG

departs 5:26 PM HT · arrives 6:19 PM HT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to OGG?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ OGG is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 7% of the time recently

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.02 in

OGG (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1983 · HNL → OGG

Odds over time

How late will it get to OGG?