WN 2590 · LIH → HNL

departs 7:06 PM HT · arrives 7:58 PM HT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts −14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at LIH that day

↓ LIH usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LIH (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.10 in

HNL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2590 · LIH → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?