Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 275
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 7
WN 275 · TPA → BDL
departs 2:09 PM ET · arrives 5:02 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/6 25%
Wed 10/7
Odds over time
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at BDL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BDL?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
This flight has been late 14% of the time recently
↑
2pm departures from TPA are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 7.33333 mi Precip 0.52 in
BDL (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.