YV 6309 · IAH → ELP

departs 10:04 AM CT · arrives 11:25 AM MT

Forecast issued Tue 12:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±3 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ELP?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from IAH are often late

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ELP (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YV 6309 · IAH → ELP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ELP?