tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3621 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

YX 3621 · EWR → YUL

departs 11:37 AM ET · arrives 1:29 PM EDT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 96h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Wednesday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at YUL more than 15 minutes late?
9% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 4.8d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to YUL?

  1. On time or early
    88%
  2. 15–30 min late
    3%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.