Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Sep 30, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 9987
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 7
YX 9987 · CMH → GNV
departs 6:43 AM ET · arrives 9:11 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at GNV more than 15 minutes late?
5%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
5%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
4.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GNV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Leave CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at GNV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GNV?
On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at GNV that day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Other factors
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CMH (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
GNV (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.34 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.