tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5184 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

9E 5184 · RDU → LGA

departs 2:57 PM ET · arrives 4:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
25% chance · ±3 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 2.9d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LGA?

  1. On time or early
    75%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.