Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 584 LANDED 5:38 PM HT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Thursday, October 8 Today

9X 584 · LUP → HNL

took off 5:09 PM HT · landed 5:38 PM HT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 29 kt, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LUP

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LUP (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9X 584 · LUP → HNL

Odds over time