AS 715 · HNL → SLC

departs 12:49 PM HT · arrives 10:44 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.3 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ 12pm departures from HNL are often late

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

↓ SLC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility2 mi Precip2.32 in

SLC (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 715 · HNL → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?