Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
CHINA AIRLINES · FLIGHT CI 12SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
CI 12 · TPE → JFK
departs 5:41 PM CST · arrives 7:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±4 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.