Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PHILIPPINE AIRLINES · FLIGHT PR 112
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 8
PR 112 · MNL → LAX
departs 11:06 AM PST · arrives 8:51 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 14%
Thu 10/8
Sat 10/10 22%
Sun 10/11 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave MNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
MNL is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MNL
↓
Cloud base down to 1,400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at LAX that day
Weather at each end
MNL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 800 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.