Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2071
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 8
QX 2071 · ANC → OTZ
departs 4:00 PM AKT · arrives 5:54 PM AKDT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Wed 10/7 18%
Thu 10/8
Odds over time
Arrive at OTZ more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OTZ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave ANC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at OTZ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to OTZ?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 38 kt forecast at OTZ that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
OTZ usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ANC
Weather at each end
ANC (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OTZ (destination)
Gusts 38 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.