Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2073
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 8
QX 2073 · ANC → OME
departs 7:28 AM AKT · arrives 9:21 AM AKDT
Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Wed 10/7 11%
Thu 10/8
Odds over time
Arrive at OME more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OME more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave ANC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at OME more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to OME?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 45 kt forecast at OME that day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
OME usually runs smoothly
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
ANC (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OME (destination)
Gusts 45 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.