Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2400
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 8 Tomorrow
QX 2400 · TUL → SEA
departs 6:25 PM CT · arrives 8:24 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Thu 10/8
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at SEA that day
↓
QX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
TUL (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.