Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ROYAL JORDANIAN · FLIGHT RJ 261 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Thursday, October 8 Yesterday

RJ 261 · AMM → JFK

departs 12:02 PM +03 · arrives 6:26 PM ET

Your aircraft is JYBAG (B788).

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AMM

Weather at each end

AMM (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

RJ 261 · AMM → JFK

Odds over time