Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 8014 IN THE AIR (OFF 12:11 PM MT, ETA 4:50 PM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Thursday, October 8 Today

SY 8014 · IFP → GFK

took off 12:11 PM MT · expected to land 4:50 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at GFK more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into GFK at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GFK

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IFP (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GFK (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 8014 · IFP → GFK

Odds over time