Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 155 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 8

UA 155 · GUM → TKK

departs 7:58 AM ChST · arrives 10:03 AM +10

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 46h before departure

Arrive at TKK more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TKK?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.4 in of rain forecast at GUM that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at TKK

↑ This route's recent record

↓ 7am departures from GUM are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

GUM (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility5.33333 mi Precip1.41 in

TKK (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 155 · GUM → TKK

Odds over time

How late will it get to TKK?