Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2693SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS
UA 2693 · EWR → SEA
departs 6:44 PM ET · arrives 9:44 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 8:00 PM ET · 143h before departure
Typical odds
Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Thursday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
35%chance · ±7 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARELow. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.