Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 99 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Thursday, October 8 Tomorrow

UA 99 · MEL → LAX

departs 10:40 AM AEDT · arrives 7:23 AM PT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEL

↓ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

MEL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 99 · MEL → LAX

Odds over time