Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 157SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS
WN 157 · SJD → LAS
departs 12:26 PM MST · arrives 3:11 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 159h before departure
Typical odds
Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Thursday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
20%chance · ±4 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARELow. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.