tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

MESA · FLIGHT YV 3997 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

YV 3997 · BDL → IAD

departs 2:59 PM ET · arrives 4:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 12:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
13% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 2.9d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAD?

  1. On time or early
    86%
  2. 15–30 min late
    4%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.