tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

MESA · FLIGHT YV 4011 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

YV 4011 · MAF → IAH

departs 12:01 PM CT · arrives 1:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 AM ET · 51h before departure
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
16% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 2.8d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAH?

  1. On time or early
    84%
  2. 15–30 min late
    4%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.