tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

MESA · FLIGHT YV 4016 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

YV 4016 · IAD → IND

departs 5:29 PM ET · arrives 7:20 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
22% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IND?

  1. On time or early
    77%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.