tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

MESA · FLIGHT YV 4041 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

YV 4041 · IAD → LGA

departs 5:29 PM ET · arrives 7:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
35% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 2.9d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LGA?

  1. On time or early
    65%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    18%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.