Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
MESA · FLIGHT YV 4073SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
YV 4073 · ROC → IAD
departs 6:10 AM ET · arrives 7:33 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 52h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
5%chance · ±0 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to IAD?
On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.