tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

MESA · FLIGHT YV 6189 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

YV 6189 · JAX → IAD

departs 7:16 PM ET · arrives 9:37 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
20% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAD?

  1. On time or early
    78%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.