Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4834
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 9 Tomorrow
OO 4834 · ORD → LWB
departs 3:22 PM CT · arrives 6:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Fri 10/9
Sat 10/10 33%
Sun 10/11 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at LWB more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±3 pts
+20 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LWB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at LWB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LWB?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↓
Visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at LWB that day
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
LWB (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.