Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5412SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS
OO 5412 · ORD → SDF
departs 2:29 PM CT · arrives 5:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 160h before departure
Typical odds
Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Friday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.
Odds over time
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
21%chance · ±7 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARELow. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
How late will it get to SDF?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.