Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 241 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 10 Today

9K 241 · BOS → RKD

departs 3:14 PM ET · arrives 4:11 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at RKD more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ RKD usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RKD (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 241 · BOS → RKD

Odds over time