Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 485SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS
AA 485 · DFW → MFE
departs 5:47 PM CT · arrives 7:28 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · 163h before departure
Typical odds
Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Saturday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.
Odds over time
Arrive at MFE more than 15 minutes late?
37%chance · ±4 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARELow. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
How late will it get to MFE?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.