Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ETHIOPIAN · FLIGHT ET 3731 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 10 Tomorrow

ET 3731 · LGG → LAX

departs 3:09 PM CEST · arrives 5:51 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 34h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±8 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGG

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

LGG (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

ET 3731 · LGG → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?