Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1233SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS
F9 1233 · RDU → MCO
departs 9:27 PM ET · arrives 11:28 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 145h before departure
Typical odds
Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Saturday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
18%chance · ±12 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARELow. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.